A quiet 2009 for natural disasters

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 04:35 PM GMT on Januari 04, 2010

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It was a relatively quiet year globally for natural disasters in 2009. According to Munich Re insurance company, the death toll from 2009 natural disasters was approximately 10,000, well below the average 75,000 deaths per year seen over the decade of the 2000s. Damage from 2009 natural disasters was about $50 billion, compared to the decadal average of $115 billion, and far below the $200 billion in destruction wrought by 2008's natural disasters. The most costly disaster of 2009 was Winter Storm Klaus, which hit northern Spain and southwest France January 23 - 25, causing $5.1 billion in damage. The deadliest weather-related disaster was Category 2 Typhoon Ketsana, which killed 694 people in the Philippines and Southeast Asia. Category 2 Typhoon Morakot was a close second, with 614 fatalities, primarily in Taiwan. The deadliest natural disaster overall was the magnitude 7.6 earthquake that shook the Indonesian island of Sumatra on 30 September, killing nearly 1,200 people.


Figure 1. Cars being swept away by Ketsana's flood waters in a still frame from a dramatic YouTube video captured by medical students at the East Ramon Magsaysay Memorial Medical Center.

I'll be back Tuesday with my selection for the top global weather event of 2009: the Horn of Africa drought.

Jeff Masters

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Quoting Floodman:
I have to tell you eyes, before I had the surgery, it couldn't get cold enough for me...after, though and I get the chills pretty easy. Hope that changes; bitterly cold crisp mornings are my favorite!

those bitterly cold mornings do wonders for clearing out your sinuses.
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around 29.8 degrees in Tallahasse. Really cold, gonna be a long week for someone who's from Miami. I god used to mid 40's but come on!
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Quoting Floodman:
I have to tell you eyes, before I had the surgery, it couldn't get cold enough for me...after, though and I get the chills pretty easy. Hope that changes; bitterly cold crisp mornings are my favorite!
I grew up in Northern MI. and have been away from cold weather for 30 years, now i move to OK it gets pretty cold and seems extreme to me.

Your comment reminds me of how the grandparents would often say the weather is about to change due to an ache or pain in a healed wound or scar
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WOW
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My home town, Fulton MO

Where I live now, Fort Worth TX

No room for the folks here to complain...
Member Since: Agustus 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
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Lafayette, Purdue University Airport
Lat: 40.43 Lon: -86.93 Elev: 623
Last Update on Jan 5, 9:54 am EST

Fair

7 °F
(-14 °C)
Humidity: 76 %
Wind Speed: W 9 MPH
Barometer: 30.24" (1025.2 mb)
Dewpoint: 1 °F (-17 °C)
Wind Chill: -7 °F (-22 °C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.
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I have to tell you eyes, before I had the surgery, it couldn't get cold enough for me...after, though and I get the chills pretty easy. Hope that changes; bitterly cold crisp mornings are my favorite!
Member Since: Agustus 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
Folly Beach, SC pier...
Link
Member Since: Agustus 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10492
Tahlequah, Oklahoma (Airport)
Updated: 36 min 47 sec ago
16 °F
Mostly Cloudy
Windchill: 10 °F
Humidity: 53%
Dew Point: 1 °F
Wind: 4 mph from the North
Pressure: 30.48 in (Steady)
Visibility: 10.0 miles
UV: 0 out of 16
Clouds: Mostly Cloudy 2600 ft
(Above Ground Level)
Elevation: 873 ft

This is in NE OK. Another day in paradise with no need for sunscreen. Also forcast to be -1 on Thurs. 01-07-10. Much colder than I recall here!
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Quoting gregpinehurstnc:
just got in from breaking ice for the chickens , dogs, cats,, they are sheltered ,thick ice , i cannot inagine what my 92 year grandmother went thru ,back in the 20 and 30s in cold like this,in rural nc,, no electric until 1948, the 1928 snowstorm dropped 3 feet of snow on them i think march 2,


They got through it...wood stoves, fireplaces and layered clothing. We really are as tough as they were, we just dont get much chance to show it...LOL
Member Since: Agustus 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
just got in from breaking ice for the chickens , dogs, cats,, they are sheltered ,thick ice , i cannot inagine what my 92 year grandmother went thru ,back in the 20 and 30s in cold like this,in rural nc,, no electric until 1948, the 1928 snowstorm dropped 3 feet of snow on them i think march 2,
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Quoting unclemush:
Current Conditions


Omaha, Nebraska (Airport)
Updated: 8:15 AM CST on January 05, 2010
-15 °F
Freezing Fog
Windchill: -15 °F
Humidity: 84%
Dew Point: -18 °F
Wind: Calm
Pressure: 30.48 in (Steady)
Visibility: 0.0 miles
UV: 0 out of 16
Clouds: Mostly Cloudy 100 ft
Mostly Cloudy 400 ft
(Above Ground Level)
Snow Depth: 16.0 in
Elevation: 984 ft




Niiice! Now that's winter, kids!

I grew up in central MO and then St Louis, Unclemush, so I know from WC -15 and freezing fog...LOL
Member Since: Agustus 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
722. eddye
tonight
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721. eddye
it looks like broward has the clouds moving out right know so it will make it be a cold night today with some frost possible
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Just saw your post Oz. Gonna check mail!
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Whats the status on the short wave coming thru the south west?
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With a stream of clouds into the state i dont see any freezeing temps across metro dade/broward counties. You can thank El Niño for that.
Member Since: Mei 14, 2006 Posts: 8 Comments: 13841
NOAA’s National Hurricane Center to Provide Greater Lead Time in Watches and Warnings


NOAA’s National Hurricane Center in Miami will issue watches and warnings for tropical storms and hurricanes along threatened coastal areas 12 hours earlier than in previous years. According to NHC experts, advancements in track forecasts are making it possible for forecasters to provide greater lead time.

Tropical storm watches will be issued when tropical storm conditions are possible along the coast within 48 hours. Tropical storm warnings will be issued when those conditions are expected within 36 hours. This is an increase of 12 hours from those issued in previous years.

Similar increases in lead-time will apply to hurricane watches and warnings. The hurricane watches and warnings will generally be timed to provide 48 and 36 hours notice, respectively, before the onset of tropical storm force winds. That additional time will also allow people preparing for the storm – securing oil rig platforms, getting food and water stockpiled, boarding windows, etc., – enough time to finish preparations and get to safe shelter.
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GOM IR Loop

Member Since: Juli 3, 2005 Posts: 427 Comments: 129442
715. IKE
Quoting Patrap:
holy bat Cave Ike..its cold out dere!!!!



Wind chills here are Brutal


LOL.
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Photobucket
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Do yer driving today and Weds and be ready if in this WInter Wx advisory.

Winter Weather Advisory, Freeze Warning

Statement as of 11:46 PM CST on January 04, 2010

... Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect from 6 PM Wednesday
to 10 am CST Sunday...

A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect from 6 PM Wednesday
to 10 am CST Sunday.

By late Wednesday night or early Thursday morning... a surface low
will start to develop over the northwestern Gulf. This will cause
temperatures to warm slowly with moisture increasing across the
area. Initially... light to moderate showers will be possible but
by late Thursday morning... a very cold airmass will begin to push
into the region. Rain will begin to change over to sleet and then
snow Thursday morning for areas in southern Mississippi along
with the felicianas and point coupee Parish. By Thursday
afternoon areas along and north of the 10/12 corridor will likely
see a mix of rain... sleet... and snow. At this time we are not
expecting much in the way of accumulation but a light dusting to
half an inch of accumulation on grassy areas would not be out of
the question.

All of the moisture will move out of the area by Thursday evening
and then the greater issue arrives... very cold temperatures. An
Arctic airmass will continue to move in and remain over the area
from Thursday night through Sunday. This airmass is associated
with near -40 degree temperatures in the interior of Canada. With
a nice snow pack across the upper and Central Plains as well as
the upper and mid Mississippi Valley the airmass will not
moderate considerably. The airmass is expected to bring very cold
temperatures to the area that could be comparable to the Arctic
outbreak of early February 1996... but not as low as those
experienced during the 1985 and 1989 Arctic outbreaks. Multiple
nights with lows in the teens will be possible across southern
Mississippi and portions of southeast Louisiana that are
generally north of the 10/12 corridor. Across the southshore...
lows could drop to into the lower to mid 20s for multiple nights.
The coldest temperatures are currently forecast to occur Saturday
morning with lows ranging from 13 near McComb to 23 at Galliano.
Even though it is not forecast right now... this airmass does have
the potential to cause lows that could bottom out in the single
digits across isolated locations in southern Mississippi and
maybe into the teens around the New Orleans Metro.

In addition to the cold temperatures breezy north winds will be
ongoing both Friday and Saturday mornings. This in combination
with the real cold temperatures will lead to hazardous wind chill
readings down into the single digits.

These conditions could become life threatening and at the very
least hazardous to property. Residents should make preparations
for extremely cold temperatures now.

To prevent freezing and possible bursting of outdoor pipes...
pipes should be wrapped... drained... or allowed to drip slowly.
Those that have in-ground sprinkler systems should drain their
systems... or cover any above-ground pipes to protect them from
freezing.

Pets are also subject to the extreme cold. Keep pets indoors as
much as possible. If this is not possible... make sure outdoor
pets have warm dry shelter... and provide sufficient food and
fresh unfrozen water.

Be particularly careful with portable heaters... there is a danger
of fire or poisonous fumes. Make frequent checks on the elderly.
Make sure their furnaces are working and heating the house
properly.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow... sleet... or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for
slippery roads and limited visibilities... and use caution while
driving.
Member Since: Juli 3, 2005 Posts: 427 Comments: 129442
Quoting HurricaneNewbie:
Glad to help. :)
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Quoting unclemush:
Current Conditions


Omaha, Nebraska (Airport)
Updated: 8:15 AM CST on January 05, 2010
-15 F
Freezing Fog
Windchill: -15 F
Humidity: 84%




Thanks for making me feel a little warmer
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Current Conditions


Omaha, Nebraska (Airport)
Updated: 8:15 AM CST on January 05, 2010
-15 °F
Freezing Fog
Windchill: -15 °F
Humidity: 84%
Dew Point: -18 °F
Wind: Calm
Pressure: 30.48 in (Steady)
Visibility: 0.0 miles
UV: 0 out of 16
Clouds: Mostly Cloudy 100 ft
Mostly Cloudy 400 ft
(Above Ground Level)
Snow Depth: 16.0 in
Elevation: 984 ft


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Hope everybody had a wonderful Christmas and a prosperous new year. Yeah I am late but ODG I have been covered up at work.
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Gotta go get a Tire and have it mounted and Balanced,then go put on the car.

Sheesh,Im too old fer dis stuff.
Come Thursday,I may fly to Cancun.
Member Since: Juli 3, 2005 Posts: 427 Comments: 129442
23.0 °F
Clear
Windchill: 16 °F
Humidity: 71%
Dew Point: 15 °F
Wind: 10.0 mphfrom the West
Wind Gust: 10.0 mph
Pressure: 29.60 in (Rising)

Been busy lately. Whomever turned the heat off in the south, could you please turn it back on.
Thanks
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holy bat Cave Ike..its cold out dere!!!!



Wind chills here are Brutal
Member Since: Juli 3, 2005 Posts: 427 Comments: 129442
Well the clouds rolled in about 10pm last night for St. Petersburg and Tampa, keeping them warmer than forecasted. It was 42.4 degrees when I woke up and it was suppose to be 36 degrees. Didnt get those last 6 degrees because of the clouds keeping the heat in the atmosphere.
Member Since: Agustus 11, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2315
Quoting Orcasystems:


You guys can keep that cold stuff... its 6 am and its still warmer here.

I'm with ya Orca.

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Annual Australian Climate Statement 2009

Issued 5th January 2010
Link
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Tropical Low

A Tropical Low off the west coast of the Top End is weakening as it makes landfall near Port Keats. Embedded in an active monsoonal trough, the Tropical Low will help to deliver heavy rain and storms over the Top End.

The low is estimated to be 10 kilometers east-northeast of Port Keats and 215 kilometers northeast of Wyndham moving southeast at 7km/h

With a central pressure of 991hPa and wind gusts of 85km/h near the centre, the Tropical Low is no longer expected to develop into a TROPICAL CYCLONE.

The Cyclone WARNING from Kalumburu to Daly River Mouth has been canceled.

No further cyclone warnings will be issued for this system.
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NWS:

What is the record for consecutive days below freezing?

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
300 PM CST MON JAN 4 2010

...INFORMATION ON CONSECUTIVE DAYS WITH BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES
IN A 24 HOUR PERIOD...

BEGINNING TOMORROW...PADUCAH KENTUCKY AND EVANSVILLE INDIANA WILL
HAVE SEEN 5 STRAIGHT DAYS WITH TEMPERATURES NEVER CLIMBING ABOVE 32
DEGREES F. THE MOST RECENT FORECAST MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE NEXT 7
DAYS WILL CONTINUE THIS TREND...BRINGING THE TOTAL TO 12 DAYS
STRAIGHT THAT THE MERCURY HAS FAILED TO CLIMB ABOVE 32 DEGREES.

LOOKING BACK AT THE RECORD BOOKS...WE HAVE OBTAINED THE TOP 5 WINTER
EVENTS WHEN PADUCAH AND EVANSVILLE HAD THE SAME SCENARIO. THE DATES
BEGIN IN 1937 AND CONTINUE TO THE PRESENT.

IN PADUCAH:

RANK # OF DAYS END DATE
1 - 13 DAYS ENDING 1/21/1978

2 - 11 DAYS ENDING 1/03/2001

3 - 11 DAYS ENDING 1/28/1940

4 - 10 DAYS ENDING 12/24/1989

5 - 7 DAYS ENDING 1/11/1979

THIS CURRENT STREAK WILL LIKELY BE IN THE TOP 5 BEFORE IT IS OVER.

IN EVANSVILLE:

RANK # OF DAYS END DATE

1 - 18 DAYS ENDING 1/03/2001

2 - 17 DAYS ENDING 1/23/1918

3 - 16 DAYS ENDING 2/10/1978

4 - 14 DAYS ENDING 1/22/1978

5 - 13 DAYS ENDING 1/30/1940


2010 IN EVANSVILLE ALSO COULD EASILY MOVE INTO THE TOP 5 AS THIS
COLD SNAP IS FORECAST TO REMAIN FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE.
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Miami shivers from coldest weather in decade

Residents of Miami donned heavy coats and wool mufflers Monday to face down the coldest weather to hit the usually balmy city nearly in a decade.

This subtropical city's fabled beaches, normally thronging with sun worshippers this time of year, were all but deserted after temperatures plummeted to around zero degrees Celsius (32 degrees Fahrenheit).

Homeless people, at risk from prolonged exposure to the cold, took to area shelters for the night on Sunday.

The temperature fell even lower in northern Florida, where Orlando and surrounding areas registered temperatures of minus six degrees Celsius (21 degrees Fahrenheit).

Forecasters said the cold snap -- the worst to hit Florida since January 2001 -- could bring even colder temperatures later in the week.
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You guys can keep that cold stuff... its 6 am and its still warmer here.
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Lawrenceville-Vincennes Intl Airport
Lat: 38.76 Lon: -87.6 Elev: 430
Last Update on Jan 5, 6:53 am CST

A Few Clouds

7 °F
(-14 °C)
Humidity: 73 %
Wind Speed: NW 9 MPH
Barometer: 30.30" (1026.9 mb)
Dewpoint: -0 °F (-18 °C)
Wind Chill: -7 °F (-22 °C)
Visibility: 8.00 mi.
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It isn't the cold people I'm looking at, it is the plants. Mangroves will definitely be moving south along the coast this year.
I just hope the weeds turn to mush along with the rest of the yard.
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WTH? Patrap, did you guys have a little bit of Lake effect snow from Lake Pontchartrain?!?

Good lord. Looks like the wind laid down a little more than expected.

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..WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTHWEST
INDIANA...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...AND WESTERN KENTUCKY.

A POTENT WINTER STORM SYSTEM WILL SPREAD SNOWFALL ACROSS THE
REGION STARTING LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

* TIMING...SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVIEST FROM MIDNIGHT
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY THURSDAY...HOWEVER SOME LIGHT
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAY OCCUR THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

* MAIN IMPACT...SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 3-5 INCHES ARE A GOOD BET
REGION WIDE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
OVER THE NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE QUAD STATE. WITH TEMPERATURES
REMAINING IN THE TEENS AND 20S THROUGH THE PERIOD...ALL SNOW
SHOULD STICK WITH NO MELTING...AND STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CAUSE
A PERIOD OF BLOWING SNOW THUS REDUCING VISIBILITIES. THE
COMBINATION OF SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW WILL LIKELY CAUSE
TRAVEL ISSUES OR DELAYS ACROSS THE QUAD STATE REGION.

* OTHER IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF THE ANTICIPATED SNOW PACK AND
ANOTHER SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR IN THE WAKE OF THE SYSTEM WILL DRIVE
TEMPERATURES INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS TO NEAR ZERO FRIDAY NIGHT
AND SATURDAY NIGHT. LINGERING NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PUSH WIND
CHILL READINGS WELL BELOW ZERO DURING THE SAME PERIOD.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

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PS: Doug, have your checked your rasta e-mail lately?

No call? What's the problem?
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You guys crack me up! :D

It's a big deal when it gets really hot or really cold, but not up here in the mountains.

Here's a sticky from close by my home.



Believe it or not, this is actually a warm morning here in the winter. Normally, it's about 5-10 degrees above 0.

LOL! Ya'll freeze your petooties off today. :)
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688. IKE
WZEP AM 1460 DeFuniak Springs, FL, DeFuniak Springs, Florida (PWS)
Updated: 2 sec ago
Clear
21.9 °F

Clear
Windchill: 22 °F
Humidity: 70%
Dew Point: 14 °F
Wind: 3.0 mph from the North
Wind Gust: 11.0 mph
Pressure: 30.29 in (Rising)
Visibility: 10.0 miles
UV: 0 out of 16
Clouds:
Clear -
(Above Ground Level)
Elevation: 174 ft
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Tampaspin,

Here in Ft myers I would back your statement of colder days seen but never in such a long stretch! I can only back you for 17 years....not 26. :)

We had a small shower this morning so I will take it.
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Quoting Jeff9641:
Yep there will be no snow in Florida this winter. If there was going to be ANY snow it would be the next few days but this potential is very unlikely. Starting next week will be a much warmer and stormier pattern as I stated several days ago. Longer warm spells with much shorter cold spells. Several more days and the warmup will begin.

GM sorry, I missed your previous post, was that based on MOS, climo, hunch, caterpillars... ?
:)
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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